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The Department of Defense (DOD) has released its Ballistic Missile Defense Review, conducted from March 2009 through January 2010. Download the 61-page report in PDF.

In assessing the ballistic missile threat around the world, DOD found the threat to be growing. As technology improves, missiles are becoming more accurate and farther-reaching. Ballistic missile systems are also more flexible and mobile. These trends are particularly disturbing as rogue states continue developing long-range weapons and nuclear capability. Last year, Iran test-fired the long-range Sajjil-2 missile, capable of reaching Israel and Southern Europe. Intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBM) have a longer range than the Sajjil.

“There is some uncertainty about when and how this type of [ICBM] threat to the U.S. homeland will mature,” states the report, “but there is no uncertainty about the existence of regional threats. They are clear and present. The threat from short-range, medium-range, and intermediate-range ballistic missiles (SRBMs, MRBMs, and IRBMs) in regions where the United States deploys forces and maintains security relationships is growing at a particularly rapid pace.”

DOD’s recommended priorities for the U.S. include testing new capabilities before deployment, testing under realistic operational conditions, and adapting as threats shift.

DOD contends that the Ground-based Midcourse Defense presently protects the U.S. against ICBM attacks from Iran and North Korea. To maintain this “advantageous position” as the threat grows, DOD says the U.S. will:

“Maintain readiness and continue to develop existing operational capabilities at Fort Greely, Alaska, and Vandenberg Air Force Base, California.

“Complete the second field of 14 silos at Fort Greely to hedge against the possibility that additional deployments become necessary.

“Deploy new sensors in Europe to improve cueing for missiles launched at the United States by Iran or other potential adversaries in the Middle East.

“Invest in further development of the Standard Missile 3 (SM-3) for future land-based deployment as the ICBM threat matures.

“Increase investments in sensors and early-intercept kill systems to help defeat missile defense countermeasures.

“Pursue a number of new GMD system enhancements, develop next generation missile defense capabilities, and advance other hedging strategies including continued development and assessment of a two-stage ground-based interceptor.”

Some experts question the report’s conclusions. For example, the Heritage Foundation’s Baker Spring believes the threat to the homeland could well be more imminent, which leaves the U.S. vulnerable to strategic surprises and risks the lives of millions of Americans. Our solutions and strategies should be more immediate rather than future oriented.

The Heritage Foundation’s James Carafano writes about Iran’s nuclear program in his latest Washington Examiner column. While Iran plans, Washington sleeps.

“Revelations in the last few weeks have been particularly troubling. The Times of London reported it had obtained an Iranian memo describing a four-year research program to produce a nuclear trigger for an atomic bomb. It is not yet clear the document is authentic. If it is, Washington has a big problem.

“It is also not clear when the memo was written. Some news reports peg the technical report at some time around 2007. That same year a National Intelligence Assessment, representing the collective wisdom of all the U.S. government intelligence agencies, declared Iran had stopped work on its nuclear weapons program in 2003.

“If the 2007 date holds up, it would indicate another huge problem: The CIA failed to detect almost five years of Iranian weapons research.”

What accounts for the CIA’s neglect?

Carafano reminds readers that Iran recently test-fired the long-range Sajjil-2 missile, capable of reaching Israel and parts of Southern Europe. While Iran is testing weapons and openly defying the U.N, President Barack Obama is cutting missile defense and trying to charm rogue states into compliance.

“At this rate,” writes Carafano, “America might celebrate its next Christmas under the shadow of a nuclear Iran.”

 
Yesterday, Iran test-launched its longest-range, solid fuel missile, capable of hitting Israel and parts of Europe, a day after the House of Representatives voted for sanctions against the rogue state.

Iran’s Sajjil-2 is the kind of weapon missile shields in Poland and the Czech Republic would have defended against. President Barack Obama dropped the Bush-era missile shield plans in Central Europe for one that deals with shorter-range missiles. The administration’s new missile defense policy doesn’t jibe with the Missile Defense Agency’s (MDA) goals. Stopping Iran’s long-range missiles will be the focus of the MDA’s simulated attack next month.

The Telegraph analyzes why Iran test-launched the Sajjil-2. Reporter Richard Spencer writes:

“[T]he most important response to Iran’s noise in recent weeks has been its mirror image: Israel’s silence…Since making his keynote speech to the Muslim world a week before the Iranian elections, President Barack Obama has urged negotiations, more diplomacy, and friendship with the Iranian people. That puts Mr Ahmadinejad in a dilemma. For the 30 years of the Republic, the US has been the enemy-in-chief, the Great Satan. Yet the more Mr Obama plays nice, the more that propaganda card fails to fulfil its purpose of uniting the Iranian people in a frenzy of support for the regime.”

Since Obama is going the diplomacy route, Iran needs an excuse to forge ahead with its defiant testing and nuclear development. Israel, which may pre-emptively strike Iran’s nuclear sites, is the “replacement bogeyman.”

“The Israelis have always said that military action is a possibility, but if Mr Ahmadinejad calls their bluff, have they got what it takes?”

The world may find out much sooner rather than later. Major General Amos Yadlin, Israel’s top intelligence chief, said Iran is close to developing a nuclear bomb, because it has enriched enough uranium.

In reaction to Iran’s missile test, White House spokesman Mike Hammer said, “Such actions will increase the seriousness and resolve of the international community to hold Iran accountable for its continued defiance of its international obligations on its nuclear program.” (Source)

 
Proceeding with its missile development, Iran recently launched a warship called Sina. The Iranian-built ship, with missile launch capabilities, is equipped with such features as radar, weapons, and a telecommunications system. (Source)

Additionally, Iran is working on an advanced version of the Sajjil-2 (also called Sejil), a missile described as having “high accuracy and destructive capability.”

The rogue state’s wasting no time developing and improving its ballistic missile capabilities, along with its nuclear program. The U.S. and others recently discovered a second nuclear facility in Iran, which Iran denies was secret. The country also test-fired the long-range Shahab-3 and the Sajjil-2, a surface-to-surface, solid-fuel missile.

Will Israel make a pre-emptive move against Iran?

(Image source: UPI)